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VOLUME XXXVIII * No. 148 * Winter 1997
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VOLUME XXXVIII * No. 148 * Winter 1997

Highlights

András Bozóki

Regionalism, Competition and Geopolitics

[...]

In the following, I shall discuss the relations between states in Central Europe after the collapse of communism and also their perception of "Europe".
I offer an overview of the political history of East Central Europe and its subregions (Baltic region, Central European region, South Eastern European region), focusing on the Central European countries, before, during, and after communist rule. Finally, I shall discuss some obstacles to integration concerning the internal con ditions of these countries, the chance of regional cooperation and a number of scenarios for the integration of Central Europe in the wider European structures.

[...]

European Union: What sort of integration?

Notwithstanding the desire for European integration and all the discussion about it, one question is still not clear: what kind of Europe is this about? Will it be a union of states, nations, or citizens? As Pierre Manent (1997:96) puts it: "Does 'Europe' mean today the depoliticization of the life of peoples--that is, the increasingly methodical reduction of their collective existence to the activities of 'civil society' and the mechanisms of 'civilization'? Or does it instead entail the construction of a new political body, a great, enormous European nation?" Can there be sovereignty other than that of the nation-state? Is supra-national democracy viable without nations? Contrary to confederation in practice, the original idea of European integration was that "federal institutions were to relate direct to the citizens, not just to member governments. The main powers were to be defence, currency, trade and enough tax to sustain the necessary expenditure. Other powers were to remain with the democratic institutions of the federal states: 'self-rule' as well as 'shared rule', now known as the principle of subsidiarity." (Pinder 1993:45-46) In practice, however, the EU has a dualized system of governance: it is a "multilevel bargaining system" with its principles of subsidiarity and solidarity, and, it is a "market-regulatory regime", where monetary policy is strictly insulated from the political bargaining system. (Hueglin 1997: 15) The structure of the European Union, into which the East Central European countries wish to be integrated, is still not clear.

The Single European Act ratified by the countries of European Community in 1987 made an attempt to form a political community out of the member states so as to prepare them to bring about a future European political union. (Kulcsár 1995:27) The Maastricht Treaty has had the purpose of both accelerating and deepening this process. In the meantime, the East Central European countries have become associated members of the European Union. The nature and dimension of the Union, however, has not been clearly defined and there are still different views as to the future of the Union. Those who are skeptical about a unified Europe believe in a European federation divided in terms of space, time or content, while others try to cling to the original idea. In what follows, I shall outline five major approaches as future perspectives.

In one influential concept, the Union will have a "hard core" of those member states that can meet the requirements defined in the Maastricht Treaty, and an outer ring of those countries that can only join later. This is the "concentric circles" concept of Europe. This is viewed in East Central Europe with skepticism, as it is understood as a new version of "first class" and "second class" Europe. The newly independent and democratic states in East Central Europe will need to be persuaded to give up some of their recent achievements in order to go "beyond the nation-state" as the EU is presently envisaged. (Holland 1993)

Another concept is one in which more time has to be given to the countries that need to catch up in a way that does not prevent the already ready countries from deepening their integration. This is the "multi-speed" concept of Europe which has received a more positive reaction from the aspirant countries, as this concept might allow them time to readjust the least competitive areas of their economy.

The third approach is to leave it open for every member state to choose from the "menu" of the European Union programme, depending on the content of agreements they wish to participate in. This is the "à la carte" concept of Europe. This, however, is hardly sufficient for the newcomers or for the present members of the EU. Without commonly accepted regulations, this approach could easily lead the Union toward disintegration.

The fourth concept is somewhat similar to the third but on the whole, it can be seen as a compromise since it lays down that the Union should be a unified market for all its member states. As to the other issues, it will be up to each country as to whether it participates in separate agreements such as those on policing, visa or refugees policies (Schengen Agreement), the European Mone tary Union (EMU) or the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP). This is the "flexible integration" concept of Europe. From their point of view, the countries of East Central Europe are in an ambiguous position as to this concept: on the one hand, they want to reach full membership status in order to be "on the safe side", on the other hand, they are not able to meet all the membership criteria.

Finally, the advocates of the fifth concept, though now fewer in number, still emphasize the importance of rules that are valid for all member states. Some candidate countries would prefer this solution whatever the cost, others are more cautious. All in all, it has not been decided yet to what extent the European federation will mean an international (between states) or supranational (above states) organization. If the latter, the question of "stateness" (namely, how to preserve democracy beyond states) will again come to the fore.

For the time being, these issues are being discussed above the heads of the future member countries with no information for public opinion. In the member states themselves, contrary to expectations, national governments and bureaucracies are more "pro-Europe" than their citizens. Indeed, the latter express their reservations and disappointments by regularly sending "anti-European" representatives to the European Parliament. For many, voting for the European Parliament is simply a protest vote against their own government. The very concept of representation is questionable in the lack of a responsible vote. What people do know in the East Central European countries is that the initial Western enthusiasm has abated and once again decisions which concern them are to be made without them. (Tolnay 1995). Countries aspiring to European Union membership are not fully concerned with issues of federation: that will probably come only when they become full members. By joining the European Union, and other Western interstate organizations for that matter, these countries are seeking long term solutions for their economic and security concerns.

Jean Monnet's observation of fifty years ago on Western Europe (quoted by Wistrich 1989:24) seems to be valid today for post-communist Europe as well. "There will be no peace in Europe if states reconstitute themselves on a basis of national sovereignty [...] European countries are too confined to ensure prosperity and essential social developments for their people. It follows that European states should form themselves into a federation or a 'European entity' which would make them a joint economic unit."


András Bozóki

is Associate Professor at the Department of Political Science, Central European University, Budapest.

 
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